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Research any market
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Paste a question from Kalshi, Polymarket, or Metaculus — get an AI-powered probability breakdown backed by real data, base rates, and current news. Stop guessing. Start winning.

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See it in action

edge — market analysis
Will the Fed cut rates at least once before end of Q3 2025?
base rate Fed has cut in 4 of the last 6 rate-decision cycles following similar inflation trajectories.
news Latest CPI print came in at 2.7% — above target but trending down for 3 consecutive months.
estimate Fed futures market currently pricing ~58% probability of at least one cut by September.
AI probability estimate
62%
Based on
4 live sources

How it works

1

Paste your market question

Copy any question from Kalshi, Polymarket, Metaculus, or Manifold and paste it in.

2

AI searches the web in real time

Edge pulls current news, base rates, expert opinion, and market data — not stale training data.

3

Get a structured probability breakdown

See exactly why the AI landed on a number. Agree, disagree, adjust — the reasoning is transparent.

4

Bet with confidence

What used to take an hour of research takes 30 seconds. Repeat for every market you're watching.

Why edge

🔍

Live web research

Searches the web in real time — not stale training data from months ago.

📊

Base rate grounding

Every estimate is anchored in historical precedent, not just current vibes.

🧠

Transparent reasoning

Step-by-step breakdown you can actually interrogate and push back on.

⚡

30 second research

One hour of googling, compressed into half a minute. Every time.

Works with every major platform

Kalshi Polymarket Metaculus Manifold PredictIt + any question